// Event · Tier B

PGL Bucharest 2027: Open Qualifier 1

12 Oct 2026 Online Finished
Winner
e
ex-RUSTEC
4–0 · Europe #67

As our forecast of 11 October saw it, before the event started.

Why it matters

Facts beside our number
Valve's event weight
—
No prize pool known: Valve would weigh it at its floor, 0.14.
Teams in the race known to attend
0
Between 1 and 99% for the Major, on the event's list or in bo3's fixtures.
Timing
21 days before the cut
TodayCut · 2 Nov
Starts in 1 day. Everything here still counts on the day.

Race impact is ours: how many points of Major chance this event is expected to move, summed over the teams in the race. For each team, how likely a top-half or a bottom-half finish is here in our runs, and how far apart its chance of the Major is after each. After the cut it is 0.

Who it matters to

0 teams in the race known to attend

No team in the race is expected here.

The field

0 known · in the race · strongest first, by our Elo

How it finished

Results from bo3
Winner
e
ex-RUSTEC
4–0Europe #67
Final
Nuclear TigeRES
3–1Europe #38
Semi-final
The Golden Horde
2–1Outside the top 40
Semi-final
Johnny Speeds
2–1Europe #72

Winners and losers

Our reckoning, until Valve's release

Valve's points come with its first release after the event. Until then, our reckoning of what this event alone did to each team's points.

The Golden Horde 2–1Semi-final +187 —
XI 1–1Out before the quarter-finals +98 —
ex-RUSTEC 4–0Winner +39 —
PRIVATE 1–1Quarter-final +30 —
Nordic Partners 1–1Quarter-final +20 —
Johnny Speeds 2–1Semi-final +1 —
Nice Try 0–1Out before the quarter-finals -1 —
DIVINITY 0–1Out before the quarter-finals -1 —
los kogutos 0–1Out before the quarter-finals -1 —
Just Players 0–1Out before the quarter-finals -6 —
Nuclear TigeRES 3–1Final -10 —
GenOne 1–1Quarter-final -27 —
FOKUS 0–1Out before the quarter-finals -27 —
BET-M 0–1Out before the quarter-finals -28 —
ASTRAL 0–1Out before the quarter-finals -28 —
Inner Circle Academy 0–1Quarter-final -29 —
How these numbers are made
  • Ours: race impact, the chances, the finishes and Elo, from our forecast of 11 October (how our Elo is scored). Valve's: the standings and the event weight.
  • Race impact is how many points of Major chance the event is expected to move, summed over the teams in the race.
  • Event weight is the prize pool through Valve's curve. A stage or qualifier also takes half the pool of each finished event it feeds.
  • Chance of the Major beside each team: from our forecast of 11 October, given they came, against given the finish they had.
  • Points are our reckoning until Valve's next release: every team's points on 12 October, worked out with the event and without it. The difference is the event's alone. Every match counts as Ranked; Valve may not count them all.
  • The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.