// Event · Tier B

Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier

24 Sep – 27 Sep 2026 Online Finished

No forecast of ours was made before it started.

Winners and losers

Valve's points · release of 5 Oct
WBT 0–1 +365
Eternal Fire 3–0Winner +347
SINNERS 0–1 +243
Nemesis 3–0 +227
CYBERSHOKE 0–1 +172
K27 2–1 +152
Iberian Soul 1–1 +112
fnatic 2–1 +107
Nuclear TigeRES 1–1 +83
Just Players 0–1 +79
Rune Eaters 0–1 +65
Phantom 0–1 +56
9INE 0–1 +42
ex-Zero Tenacity 0–1 +22
Sashi 1–1 -70
ex-RUBY 1–1 -137
How these numbers are made
  • Ours: race impact, the chances, the finishes and Elo, from our forecast of 22 October (how our Elo is scored). Valve's: the standings and the event weight.
  • Race impact is how many points of Major chance the event is expected to move, summed over the teams in the race.
  • Event weight is the prize pool through Valve's curve. A stage or qualifier also takes half the pool of each finished event it feeds.
  • Points are Valve's change between its releases of 7 September and 5 October, so other events and ageing move them too.
  • The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.