// Event · Tier B

Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier

3 Sep – 5 Sep 2026 Online Finished

No forecast of ours was made before it started.

Winners and losers

Valve's points · release of 7 Sep
fnatic 3–0 +168
ASTRAL 0–1 +52
Eternal Fire 0–1 +51
HOTU 1–1 +6
Nuclear TigeRES 1–1 -19
Nemiga 3–0Winner -33
INFINITE 0–1 -66
SINNERS 0–1 -80
Virtus.pro 0–1 -89
Ninjas in Pyjamas 2–1 -106
FOKUS 2–1 -123
Nemesis 1–1 -146
Walczaki 0–1 -223
Sangal 0–1 -419
BBL 1–1 —
Iberian Soul 0–1 —
How these numbers are made
  • Ours: race impact, the chances, the finishes and Elo, from our forecast of 22 October (how our Elo is scored). Valve's: the standings and the event weight.
  • Race impact is how many points of Major chance the event is expected to move, summed over the teams in the race.
  • Event weight is the prize pool through Valve's curve. A stage or qualifier also takes half the pool of each finished event it feeds.
  • Points are Valve's change between its releases of 3 August and 7 September, so other events and ageing move them too.
  • The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.