// Event · Tier S

Esports World Cup 2026

12 Aug – 23 Aug 2026 LAN $2,000,000 prize pool Finished
Winner
Spirit
6–1 · Europe #1

No forecast of ours was made before it started.

How it finished

Results from bo3
Winner
Spirit
6–1Europe #1
Final
FUT
5–1Europe #4
Semi-final
Legacy
5–2Americas #1
Semi-final
FURIA
4–2Americas #2

Winners and losers

Valve's points · release of 7 Sep

Spirit won the tournament, but FUT gained more from it: 181 points against -4. What counts is whom you beat and what it replaced in your ten best.

FUT 5–1Final +183
JiJieHao 1–2Out before the quarter-finals +154
100 Thieves 0–2Out before the quarter-finals +37
G2 3–1Quarter-final +35
MOUZ 3–2Quarter-final +29
Spirit 6–1Winner +20
Legacy 5–2Semi-final +10
Vitality 3–2Quarter-final +5
FURIA 4–2Semi-final -17
B8 2–1Out before the quarter-finals -35
BIG 1–2Out before the quarter-finals -36
K27 0–2Out before the quarter-finals -36
Falcons 3–1Quarter-final -69
magic 2–2Out before the quarter-finals -76
FaZe 2–1Out before the quarter-finals -78
M80 0–2Out before the quarter-finals -91
Ninjas in Pyjamas 1–2Out before the quarter-finals -106
Astralis 2–2Out before the quarter-finals -109
3DMAX 0–2Out before the quarter-finals -112
Aurora 2–2Out before the quarter-finals -137
Lynn Vision 1–2Out before the quarter-finals -157
GamerLegion 2–1Out before the quarter-finals -159
The MongolZ 2–2Out before the quarter-finals -177
paiN 1–2Out before the quarter-finals -178
TYLOO 0–2Out before the quarter-finals -200
MIBR 1–2Out before the quarter-finals -203
Wildcard 0–2Out before the quarter-finals -217
Natus Vincere 2–1Out before the quarter-finals -223
PARIVISION 1–2Out before the quarter-finals -224
Luminosity 0–2Out before the quarter-finals -239
9z 1–2Out before the quarter-finals -241
BETBOOM 0–2Out before the quarter-finals -243
How these numbers are made
  • Ours: race impact, the chances, the finishes and Elo, from our forecast of 22 October (how our Elo is scored). Valve's: the standings and the event weight.
  • Race impact is how many points of Major chance the event is expected to move, summed over the teams in the race.
  • Event weight is the prize pool through Valve's curve. A stage or qualifier also takes half the pool of each finished event it feeds.
  • Points are Valve's change between its releases of 3 August and 7 September, so other events and ageing move them too.
  • The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.